SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Coventry City |
36.82% ( 0.59) | 25.36% ( 0.04) | 37.82% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( -0.16) | 47.33% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( -0.15) | 69.55% ( 0.14) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.87% ( 0.26) | 25.13% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.16% ( 0.36) | 59.84% ( -0.36) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( -0.41) | 24.59% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.92% ( -0.58) | 59.08% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 36.82% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.86% Total : 37.82% |
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