Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
