Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
