Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
