Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.