SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 49.9% | 27.47% | 22.63% |
| Both teams to score 42.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.53% | 61.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.65% | 81.35% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% | 24.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.51% | 59.49% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.77% | 43.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.51% | 79.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 14.96% 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 8.73% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.14% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.06% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.01% Total : 22.63% |
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