Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Nottingham Forest
49.9%	27.47%	22.63%

Both teams to score 42.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.53%

61.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.65%

81.35%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12%

24.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51%

59.49%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.77%

43.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.51%

79.49%

Score Analysis

Watford 49.89%

Nottingham Forest 22.63%

Draw 27.46%

Watford	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 14.96% 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 8.73% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.14% Total : 49.89%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.46%	0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.06% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.01% Total : 22.63%