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NL
Championship | Gameweek 17
Dec 9, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
NF

Norwich
2 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Sorensen (45+2'), Buendia (77')
Skipp (53'), Buendia (59'), Aarons (74'), Cantwell (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Knockaert (73')
Sow (27')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawNottingham Forest
49.41%26.79%23.8%
Both teams to score 45.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.66%58.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04%78.95%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28%23.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15%57.85%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.71%40.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09%76.91%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 49.41%
    Nottingham Forest 23.8%
    Draw 26.79%
Norwich CityDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.75%
2-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 8.99%
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 49.41%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 9.56%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.24%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 23.8%

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