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NF
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK
The City Ground
QL

Nott'm Forest
3 - 1
QPR

Mighten (44'), Grabban (63'), Garner (69')
Yates (32'), Krovinovic (66'), Christie (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dykes (90+2')
Johansen (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawQueens Park Rangers
31.78%27.81%40.41%
Both teams to score 47.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.94%58.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.26%78.73%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.4%33.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.76%70.24%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85%28.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17%63.83%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 31.77%
    Queens Park Rangers 40.41%
    Draw 27.8%
Nottingham ForestDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 7.13%
2-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 31.77%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.46%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 11.98%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-2 @ 7.6%
1-3 @ 3.5%
0-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 40.41%

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