On the back of their surprise success last time out, Peterborough will be full of confidence ahead of a must-win fixture. However, we feel that Boro's extra quality will eventually shine through, potentially collecting all three points during the closing stages when Posh are torn over whether to take risks.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 64.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
