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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
LT

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Luton

McNair (17' pen.), Watmore (87')
Lumley (90+1'), Coburn (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cornick (90+6')
Jerome (20'), Hylton (50'), Lansbury (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton Town

With both teams producing fine efforts in the FA Cup, they may struggle to replicate those performances during this contest. There is an argument that this is a true 50-50 contest, but the extra rest and home advantage could prove pivotal for Boro, and we are backing a narrow victory for the North-East outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
46.61%27.16%26.23%
Both teams to score 46.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42%58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.31%78.69%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11%24.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49%59.5%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.1%37.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.33%74.67%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 46.6%
    Luton Town 26.23%
    Draw 27.15%
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 13.11%
2-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 8.85%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-1 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 46.6%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 9.15%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 26.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Spurs
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.55pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 West Brom
Tuesday, February 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 4-1 Derby
Saturday, February 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-2 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-3 Chelsea
Wednesday, March 2 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Derby
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Luton
Wednesday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-0 West Brom
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 3-0 Luton
Saturday, February 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in Championship


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