Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-0 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Watford in this match.