Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Watford
27.68%	28.14%	44.18%

Both teams to score 44.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.39%

60.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.3%

80.7%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.88%

38.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.11%

74.88%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.68%

27.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.23%

62.76%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 27.68%

Watford 44.17%

Draw 28.13%

Stoke City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 6.29% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.56% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.68%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 13.51% 0-2 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-3 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.23% 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.81% Total : 44.17%