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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
34.29% ( 0.09) | 27.01% ( -0.04) | 38.7% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.45% ( 0.15) | 54.55% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( 0.13) | 75.9% ( -0.12) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( 0.13) | 30.1% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.76% ( 0.16) | 66.24% ( -0.16) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( 0.05) | 27.45% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.07% ( 0.05) | 62.93% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 34.29% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.69% |
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