SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Middlesbrough |
26.84% ( 0.01) | 24.29% | 48.87% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.69% ( 0.01) | 46.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.4% ( 0.01) | 68.6% ( -0.01) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( 0.01) | 31.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.55% ( 0.01) | 67.46% ( -0.01) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% | 19.02% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.41% ( 0) | 50.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 6.91% 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.03% 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.84% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.15% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 1.87% 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 48.87% |
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