QPR have the second-worst home record in the Championship this season, failing to win in seven games in front of their own fans, and we are backing a talented Middlesbrough side to bounce back with a victory on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Middlesbrough
26.84% ( 0.01)	24.29%	48.87% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.77% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.69% (

0.01)

46.31% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.4% (

0.01)

68.6% (

-0.01)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.87% (

0.01)

31.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.55% (

0.01)

67.46% (

-0.01)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.98%

19.02% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.41% (

50.59%

Score Analysis

Queens Park Rangers 26.84%

Middlesbrough 48.87%

Draw 24.29%

Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 6.91% 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.03% 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.84%	1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.29%	0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 1.87% 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 48.87%