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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Hawthorns
ML

West Brom
0 - 1
Middlesbrough


Mowatt (34'), Racic (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hackney (74')
Jones (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-2 West Brom
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Middlesbrough

West Brom's strong start to the season and impressive home record should make them favourites on Tuesday. Additionally, given Middlesbrough have numerous defensive absentees, it would not be surprising if they were to concede first. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMiddlesbrough
35.31% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09) 26.33%38.36% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.06% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.36% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)51.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)73.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)28.04% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)63.69% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (0.037999999999997 0.04)26.27% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (0.053000000000004 0.05)61.38% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 35.31%
    Middlesbrough 38.36%
    Draw 26.33%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.31%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.73% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-2 West Brom
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-3 West Brom
Sunday, September 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 West Brom
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Leeds
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Preston
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-5 Stoke
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.15pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship


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