SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Middlesbrough |
36.51% ( -0.01) | 25.79% ( -0.07) | 37.69% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.73% ( 0.3) | 49.27% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.67% ( 0.27) | 71.32% ( -0.27) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( 0.14) | 26.21% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.7% ( 0.18) | 61.3% ( -0.18) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( 0.18) | 25.55% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.59% ( 0.24) | 60.41% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.69% |
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