With the pressure ramping up on both managers, this feels like an important fixture for differing reasons. While we think that QPR will give a good account of themselves, we are backing Boro to get off the mark in their wins tally, potentially through a late goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
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