SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
33.64% ( 0.21) | 24.96% ( 0.38) | 41.4% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.04% ( -1.7) | 45.96% ( 1.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( -1.62) | 68.26% ( 1.63) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( -0.69) | 26.33% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.54% ( -0.93) | 61.46% ( 0.93) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( -1) | 22.16% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.46% ( -1.53) | 55.55% ( 1.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.25% Total : 33.64% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.41)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.37)0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.4% |
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