With Oxford's unbeaten run at the Kassam Stadium having now come to an end, it remains to be seen how they will react. With Millwall having not played in midweek, we feel that their extra freshness could prove key in sealing a hard-earned win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.07) 
