Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bournemouth in this match.
