Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Rotherham United	Draw	Watford
23.54%	25.46%	51%

Both teams to score 48.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.29%

53.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.81%

75.19%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.07%

37.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.3%

74.7%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92%

21.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.1%

53.89%

Score Analysis

Rotherham United 23.54%

Watford 50.99%

Draw 25.45%

Rotherham United	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 7.75% 2-1 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 3.76% 3-1 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.61% Total : 23.54%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 12.44% 0-2 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-3 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.43% Total : 50.99%