Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Watford
34.28%	27.51%	38.21%

Both teams to score 49.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.5%

56.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.5%

77.49%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91%

31.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59%

67.41%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.34%

28.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.53%

64.47%

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 34.27%

Watford 38.21%

Draw 27.5%

Cardiff City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.27%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.91% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 6.96% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.21%