Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.