SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
42.96% ( -0.47) | 28.1% ( 0.11) | 28.94% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 45.75% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.02% ( -0.24) | 59.98% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.78% ( -0.19) | 80.22% ( 0.19) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( -0.37) | 27.67% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.79% ( -0.47) | 63.21% ( 0.48) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.24% ( 0.16) | 36.76% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.45% ( 0.15) | 73.55% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.79% Total : 42.95% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 28.93% |
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