Rotherham have not beaten Watford in six previous meetings against them in the Championship, but they have been able to bounce back well from a tough outing, while the Hornets have not been quite as sharp in the attacking third on the road as they have been at home.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.73) 
-0.34) 
