SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield United | Draw | Cardiff City |
62.16% ( -0.02) | 21.71% ( -0.01) | 16.14% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.59% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.78% ( 0.12) | 48.22% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% ( 0.11) | 70.37% ( -0.1) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.04% ( 0.03) | 14.96% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.62% ( 0.06) | 43.38% ( -0.05) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.13% ( 0.12) | 42.87% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.82% ( 0.11) | 79.18% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield United | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.48% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 62.15% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 16.14% |
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