Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
