Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.