MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 22:48:01
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Thursday, March 28
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NF
Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK
The City Ground
SL

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Stoke

Grabban (50')
Ribeiro (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Matondo (27')
Smith (33')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawStoke City
36.2%29.26%34.54%
Both teams to score 44.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.27%62.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.73%82.27%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97%33.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38%69.62%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88%34.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19%70.81%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 36.19%
    Stoke City 34.54%
    Draw 29.26%
Nottingham ForestDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 12.48%
2-1 @ 7.44%
2-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 13.42%
0-0 @ 11.27%
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.26%
0-1 @ 12.11%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 6.51%
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 34.54%

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