Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
