Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
