Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 51.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
