Stoke
3 - 0
Swansea

Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Swansea City

Both teams are in a position in the table which allows them to throw everything at trying to collect all three points. However, neither side have been consistent this season, leaving us to predict a low-scoring draw in the Potteries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Swansea City
41.08%	26.92%	32%

Both teams to score 50.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.37%

54.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.03%

75.97%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83%

26.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.74%

61.26%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.33%

31.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.92%

68.09%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 41.08%

Swansea City 32%

Draw 26.91%

Stoke City	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.22% Total : 41.08%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 9.53% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.85% Total : 32%