Swansea
0 - 1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Luton Town

Given their respective situations, neither team can really afford a draw on Tuesday, particularly Luton whose playoffs ambitions are far more realistic. Nevertheless, we see a low-scoring draw playing out in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Luton Town
41.58%	28.03%	30.4%

Both teams to score 46.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.79%

59.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.37%

79.63%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95%

28.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29%

63.71%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.79%

35.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.03%

71.97%

Score Analysis

Swansea City 41.57%

Luton Town 30.4%

Draw 28.02%

Swansea City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 12.55% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.76% Total : 41.57%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.02%	0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.1% Total : 30.4%