Sunderland will be buoyed by their much-needed win at Cardiff on Monday and should be confident of beating a Birmingham side who arguably have nothing to play for in the remaining five matches.
Blues have been good defensively in recent matches, but we see a slip in concentration at the Stadium of Light for the visitors in this one, ultimately leading to defeat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
0.13) 
-0.02) 
