SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Middlesbrough |
35.42% ( 0.02) | 26.05% ( -0.04) | 38.52% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.98% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.54% ( 0.18) | 50.46% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% ( 0.16) | 72.39% ( -0.16) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( 0.09) | 27.41% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.11% ( 0.12) | 62.88% ( -0.13) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( 0.09) | 25.63% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( 0.13) | 60.53% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.42% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.52% |
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