On the back of a morale-boosting showing against Southampton, Cardiff will be optimistic about overcoming Boro on Saturday. Nevertheless, we feel that the visitors will shake off their humbling in midweek and post a convincing victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Middlesbrough
27.03% ( 0.02)	24.06% ( 0)	48.91% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 56.71% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.85% (

0.01)

45.15% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.51% (

67.49% (

-0)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63% (

0.02)

30.37% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.43% (

0.02)

66.57% (

-0.02)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.45% (

-0)

18.55% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.2% (

-0.01)

49.8% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 27.03%

Middlesbrough 48.91%

Draw 24.06%

Cardiff City	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.03%	1-1 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.06%	1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.38% Total : 48.91%