Including last season, Middlesbrough have won four of their last five home league games, and we think that they will produce another strong home performance to claim a narrow victory over newly-promoted Portsmouth. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Portsmouth
51.18% ( -0.01)	24.56% ( -0)	24.26% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.44% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.46% (

0.03)

49.54% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.43% (

0.03)

71.57% (

-0.03)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

19.35% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.86% (

0.01)

51.13% (

-0.01)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.02% (

0.03)

34.98% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.28% (

0.04)

71.72% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 51.17%

Portsmouth 24.26%

Draw 24.55%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 51.17%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.26%