SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Sunderland |
40.89% ( 0.08) | 25.77% ( 0.04) | 33.34% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.41% ( -0.17) | 49.59% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.39% ( -0.15) | 71.61% ( 0.15) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( -0.03) | 24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.75% ( -0.05) | 58.25% ( 0.05) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( -0.15) | 28.27% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.02% ( -0.19) | 63.98% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.34% |
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