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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
S

Portsmouth
1 - 3
Sunderland

O'Nien (90+1' og.)
Kamara (78'), Swanson (88'), Yengi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Swanson (31' og.), Mayenda (52'), Mundle (56')
Rigg (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Burnley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 1-2 Sunderland

Portsmouth may have avoided defeat in each of their opening three outings, but we think they will suffer their first Championship loss of the season against a Sunderland side that will be full of confidence following their perfect start to their league campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawSunderland
40.89% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 25.77% (0.035999999999998 0.04) 33.34% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.52% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.41% (-0.167 -0.17)49.59% (0.167 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39% (-0.15 -0.15)71.61% (0.149 0.15)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)24% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)58.25% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)28.27% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (-0.191 -0.19)63.98% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 40.89%
    Sunderland 33.34%
    Draw 25.77%
PortsmouthDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 40.89%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.78% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Luton
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leeds 3-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Portsmouth
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Burnley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 4-0 Sheff Weds
Sunday, August 18 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Sunderland
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Marseille
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Bradford
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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