With Swansea on an upward trajectory, this could prove to be a far more competitive fixture than many would have anticipated as little as a week ago. However, we feel that Fulham will show a greater ruthlessness in the final third to secure another important three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
