With Swansea on an upward trajectory, this could prove to be a far more competitive fixture than many would have anticipated as little as a week ago. However, we feel that Fulham will show a greater ruthlessness in the final third to secure another important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Fulham
24.85%	24.46%	50.69%

Both teams to score 53.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.37%

48.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.26%

70.75%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.03%

33.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.35%

70.66%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81%

19.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.13%

50.88%

Score Analysis

Swansea City 24.85%

Fulham 50.69%

Draw 24.46%

Swansea City	Draw	Fulham
1-0 @ 7.04% 2-1 @ 6.27% 2-0 @ 3.8% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.85%	1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.46%	0-1 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 8.88% 1-3 @ 5.28% 0-3 @ 4.89% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.69%