Given Derby's home form, it is difficult to rule out the Rams against any second-tier opponents at Pride Park. However, defeat for Fulham in their last game is the worst thing that could have happened for the East Midlands side, and the inevitable reaction from their opponents should lead to an away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Fulham
23.36%	25.12%	51.52%

Both teams to score 49.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.42%

52.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.77%

74.23%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.53%

37.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.75%

74.25%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.59%

20.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.16%

52.84%

Score Analysis

Derby County 23.36%

Fulham 51.52%

Draw 25.11%

Derby County	Draw	Fulham
1-0 @ 7.51% 2-1 @ 5.86% 2-0 @ 3.68% 3-1 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.67% Total : 23.36%	1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 12.15% 0-2 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 9.48% 0-3 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-4 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 2% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.62% Total : 51.52%