SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United |
30.59% ( 4.23) | 26.47% ( 2.27) | 42.94% ( -6.51) |
| Both teams to score 51.28% ( -4.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.69% ( -7.08) | 53.31% ( 7.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.14% ( -6.33) | 74.86% ( 6.33) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( -0.52) | 31.98% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% ( -0.6) | 68.44% ( 0.6) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( -5.86) | 24.61% ( 5.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.88% ( -8.97) | 59.12% ( 8.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 2.15) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.57)2-0 @ 5.12% ( 1.17)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.59% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 1.16) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 1.97)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.5)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( 1.16) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.74)0-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.53)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -1.21)0-3 @ 3.61% ( -1)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.73)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.79)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.66)Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.94% |
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