SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Millwall win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
24.79% ( -0.27) | 27.45% ( -0.18) | 47.76% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 44.72% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.12% ( 0.42) | 59.87% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.86% ( 0.32) | 80.14% ( -0.32) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.76% ( -0) | 40.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.13% ( -0) | 76.87% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( 0.41) | 25.17% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.1% ( 0.56) | 59.9% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 24.79% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 13.97% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.17% Total : 47.76% |
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