SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Watford |
66.94% ( -0.08) | 18.81% ( -0.01) | 14.25% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.84% ( 0.26) | 39.16% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.52% ( 0.27) | 61.48% ( -0.27) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.18% ( 0.05) | 10.81% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.13% ( 0.11) | 34.87% ( -0.11) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.16% ( 0.29) | 39.84% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.5% ( 0.27) | 76.5% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Watford |
| 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.96% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.32% Total : 66.93% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.81% | 1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.77% Total : 14.25% |
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