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Championship | Gameweek 6
Oct 21, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
BL

Watford
3 - 1
Blackburn

Pedro (13'), Cleverley (17'), Lenihan (49' og.)
Kabasele (22'), Ngakia (75'), Pedro (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Brereton (28')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawBlackburn Rovers
45.48%24.8%29.72%
Both teams to score 56.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.28%46.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01%68.98%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39%20.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84%53.16%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76%29.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81%65.19%
Score Analysis
    Watford 45.48%
    Blackburn Rovers 29.72%
    Draw 24.8%
WatfordDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 9.52%
2-1 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 6.02%
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.41%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.87%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.72%


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