Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
