Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Luton Town
48.29%	25.23%	26.47%

Both teams to score 52.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.46%

50.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.54%

72.46%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.05%

20.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.31%

53.69%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.34%

33.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.69%

70.31%

Score Analysis

Watford 48.29%

Luton Town 26.47%

Draw 25.23%

Watford	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 4.89% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.29%	1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 7.68% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.34% Total : 26.47%