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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Hawthorns
SL

West Brom
0 - 2
Southampton


Thomas-Asante (44'), Yokuslu (50')
Corberan (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fraser (14'), Brooks (73')
Smallbone (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-2 Southampton

With Southampton showing a vulnerable side on Tuesday night, West Brom will back themselves to inflict a second successive defeat on the Saints. However, despite more travelling for the South Coast outfit, we feel that an entertaining share of the spoils will play out at The Hawthorns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSouthampton
42.27% (0.39 0.39) 23.73% (-0.163 -0.16) 34% (-0.227 -0.23)
Both teams to score 61.9% (0.539 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.93% (0.72799999999999 0.73)40.06% (-0.728 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.57% (0.749 0.75)62.43% (-0.75 -0.75)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (0.47399999999999 0.47)19.27% (-0.475 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (0.774 0.77)51% (-0.773 -0.77)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.21599999999999 0.22)23.32% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (0.312 0.31)57.28% (-0.311 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 42.27%
    Southampton 34%
    Draw 23.73%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.055 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 42.27%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.46% (0.057 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Cardiff
Tuesday, February 13 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 West Brom
Saturday, February 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-2 Wolves
Sunday, January 28 at 11.45am in FA Cup
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 West Brom
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 4-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 3-1 Southampton
Tuesday, February 13 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 5-3 Huddersfield
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Watford
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Southampton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Southampton
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Southampton
Saturday, January 20 at 12.30pm in Championship


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