SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Norwich City |
43.4% ( -0.28) | 25.91% ( 0.08) | 30.69% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.05% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.96% ( -0.27) | 51.04% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% ( -0.23) | 72.9% ( 0.23) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.25) | 23.39% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% ( -0.37) | 57.38% ( 0.37) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.25% | 30.75% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.99% ( 0) | 67.02% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 30.69% |
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