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SL
Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
WB

Stoke
1 - 2
West Brom

Brown (30')
Brown (21'), Fox (61'), Pearson (64'), Powell (87'), Thompson (90+5')
Pearson (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Molumby (59', 69')
Pieters (44'), Chalobah (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Stoke
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-2 QPR
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Stoke's season has started to fizzle out after a good run of form in recent months, but the visit of a mentally-wounded West Brom side is a good opportunity to earn a victory in front of their home supporters. Albion simply need to starting winning away from the Hawthorns in order to keep their playoff dreams alive, but we envisage another frustrating afternoon for the Baggies faithful on Saturday - one which will end their promotion challenge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
39.02% (-0.324 -0.32) 26.28% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 34.7% (0.403 0.4)
Both teams to score 53.14% (0.315 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.5% (0.371 0.37)51.49% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.7% (0.322 0.32)73.3% (-0.318 -0.32)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)60.81% (0.012 0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.43100000000001 0.43)28.34% (-0.427 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (0.54 0.54)64.07% (-0.53400000000001 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 39.02%
    West Bromwich Albion 34.7%
    Draw 26.27%
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Stoke
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Bristol City
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-4 Stoke
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Stoke
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-2 Blackburn
Friday, March 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-2 QPR
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 3-1 West Brom
Friday, April 7 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 West Brom
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Wigan
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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