With both sides having found some form of late, we expect this to be a competitive fixture decided by narrow margins. Sunderland deserve respect for the away record that they have put together this season, but we cannot back against West Brom on familiar territory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
0.49) 
-0.11) 
