With both sides struggling for form, we struggle to see one outclassing the other on Saturday and instead opt for a low-scoring draw at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Cardiff City
56.13% ( 0.16)	25.64% ( -0.16)	18.23% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 41.6% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.28% (

0.54)

59.72% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.97% (

0.41)

80.02% (

-0.41)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6% (

0.29)

21.39% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.61% (

0.44)

54.38% (

-0.44)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.93% (

0.33)

47.07% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.46% (

0.25)

82.54% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Millwall 56.12%

Cardiff City 18.23%

Draw 25.64%

Millwall	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 15.52% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.9% Total : 56.12%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.47% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.23%